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Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Exeter City

Blackpool
2 - 0
Exeter

Morgan (39', 49')
Morgan (42'), Coulson (58'), Connolly (78'), Virtue (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hartridge (8'), Cole (27'), Sweeney (35'), Aitchison (41'), Diabate (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 3-1 Exeter City

Although Exeter come into the game off the back of a victory, they have tended to struggle on the road this season, and we think that their poor away form will continue against a Blackpool side that have won each of their previous six competitive home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
BlackpoolDrawExeter City
64.78% (0.267 0.27) 19.83% (-0.118 -0.12) 15.38% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.98% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (0.223 0.22)41.47% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12% (0.227 0.23)63.87% (-0.233 -0.23)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.13800000000001 0.14)12.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.43% (0.299 0.3)37.57% (-0.305 -0.31)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.07 -0.07)39.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.061 -0.06)76.42% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 64.78%
    Exeter City 15.38%
    Draw 19.83%
BlackpoolDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 64.78%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.38%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Exeter

Blackpool
100%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
0-0
Blackpool
Carroll (14'), Caldwell (15'), Scott (82')
Hamilton (51')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Exeter
2-3
Blackpool
Tillson (69'), Abrahams (90')
Tillson (81')
Dodoo (2'), Cullen (19'), Pritchard (24')
Dodoo (72')
May 28, 2017 3pm
Final
Blackpool
2-1
Exeter
Potts (3'), Cullen (65')
Cullen (58'), Osayi-Samuel (66'), Slocombe (92'), Flores (93'), Daniel (95')
Wheeler (40')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Blackpool
Watkins (45'), Reid (91')
Brown (28'), Taylor (57')
Daniel (18'), Potts (39')
Matt (45'), Daniel (47'), Flores (55'), Black (69')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Blackpool
2-0
Exeter
Vassell (19'), Brown (52' og.)
Pugh (36')

Woodman (35'), Brown (45'), Harley (81')
rhs 2.0
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