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Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Exeter City

Blackpool
2 - 0
Exeter

Morgan (39', 49')
Morgan (42'), Coulson (58'), Connolly (78'), Virtue (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hartridge (8'), Cole (27'), Sweeney (35'), Aitchison (41'), Diabate (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 3-1 Exeter City

Although Exeter come into the game off the back of a victory, they have tended to struggle on the road this season, and we think that their poor away form will continue against a Blackpool side that have won each of their previous six competitive home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
BlackpoolDrawExeter City
64.78% (0.267 0.27) 19.83% (-0.118 -0.12) 15.38% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.98% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (0.223 0.22)41.47% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12% (0.227 0.23)63.87% (-0.233 -0.23)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.13800000000001 0.14)12.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.43% (0.299 0.3)37.57% (-0.305 -0.31)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.07 -0.07)39.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.061 -0.06)76.42% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 64.78%
    Exeter City 15.38%
    Draw 19.83%
BlackpoolDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 64.78%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.38%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Exeter

Blackpool
100%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
0-0
Blackpool
Carroll (14'), Caldwell (15'), Scott (82')
Hamilton (51')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Exeter
2-3
Blackpool
Tillson (69'), Abrahams (90')
Tillson (81')
Dodoo (2'), Cullen (19'), Pritchard (24')
Dodoo (72')
May 28, 2017 3pm
Final
Blackpool
2-1
Exeter
Potts (3'), Cullen (65')
Cullen (58'), Osayi-Samuel (66'), Slocombe (92'), Flores (93'), Daniel (95')
Wheeler (40')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Blackpool
Watkins (45'), Reid (91')
Brown (28'), Taylor (57')
Daniel (18'), Potts (39')
Matt (45'), Daniel (47'), Flores (55'), Black (69')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Blackpool
2-0
Exeter
Vassell (19'), Brown (52' og.)
Pugh (36')

Woodman (35'), Brown (45'), Harley (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth442713475393694
2Derby CountyDerby442681075373886
3Bolton WanderersBolton442411981483383
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough432481184562880
5Barnsley4421121179601975
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
7Lincoln CityLincoln4419141163372671
8Blackpool4420101460431770
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Leyton Orient441711165053-362
11Northampton TownNorthampton44178195563-859
12Wycombe WanderersWycombe431513155553258
13Exeter CityExeter441610184358-1558
14Bristol Rovers44169195264-1257
15Wigan AthleticWigan441810165955456
16Charlton AthleticCharlton441119146363052
17Reading441511186365-250
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44138233363-3047
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge431210213859-2146
20Burton Albion441110233662-2643
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham43118243761-2441
22Port Vale441010244172-3140
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood44813234572-2737
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4479284076-3630


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