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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Northampton Town

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Northampton

FT(HT: 0-2)
Leonard (22'), Pinnock (36')
Moulden (47'), Leonard (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Northampton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Northampton Town

Both teams will head into Saturday's game with renewed confidence thanks to recent results, and while the visitors have enjoyed the better campaign and boast the stronger squad, Burton Albion are certainly improving and should have enough to earn a share of the points on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Northampton Town has a probability of 30.53% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawNorthampton Town
43.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 30.53% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)50.85% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (-0.081 -0.08)72.74% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)23.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)57.1% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)30.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)67.03% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 43.6%
    Northampton Town 30.53%
    Draw 25.85%
Burton AlbionDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.53%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Northampton

Burton Albion
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Northampton Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Northampton
2-0
Burton Albion
Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Northampton
Akins (4', 41' pen.), Edwards (31')
D'Ath (53')
Taylor (78'), Cresswell (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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