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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Lincoln City

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Lincoln


Moon (6'), Oshilaja (17'), Brayford (20'), Powell (45+1'), Sweeney (49'), Bola (67'), Kamwa (74'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hackett (54')
Mitchell (23'), House (90+3'), Sorensen (90+6')
Mitchell (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-0 Lincoln City

Both of these teams prefer to soak up possession before hitting their opponents in transition, meaning that they may struggle to adapt to taking the game to each other on Saturday. They were both involved in 0-0 stalemates last weekend, and we would not be surprised to see another one play out at Pirelli Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
38.41% (0.494 0.49) 28.87% (0.175 0.18) 32.72% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 44.98% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.43% (-0.681 -0.68)61.57% (0.681 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.58% (-0.509 -0.51)81.42% (0.511 0.51)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)31.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)67.35% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.828 -0.83)34.78% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.885 -0.88)71.51% (0.886 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 38.41%
    Lincoln City 32.72%
    Draw 28.85%
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.79% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Lincoln

Burton Albion
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Lincoln City
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Lincoln
0-1
Burton Albion

Erhahon (80')
Mandroiu (55')
Burroughs (58' og.)
Powell (26'), Hughes (53'), Sweeney (55'), Baah (81')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burton Albion
3-0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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