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League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Northampton
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Brough (3'), Pinnock (40'), Leonard (84')
Brough (52'), Moulden (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martin (79')
Wilson (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 4-3 Northampton
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

With virtually nothing to separate the sides in the league table, a close encounter is likely between two teams marooned in mid-table. Despite not drawing any of their previous 13 league games, Rovers may have found their match here, and the two could cancel each other in another entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 35.89% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
38.06% (0.38500000000001 0.39) 26.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.89% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63% (0.128 0.13)50.36% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (0.113 0.11)72.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.27199999999999 0.27)25.85% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (0.37 0.37)60.81% (-0.373 -0.37)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)27.08% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.192 -0.19)62.46% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.06%
    Bristol Rovers 35.89%
    Draw 26.04%
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.89%

How you voted: Northampton vs Bristol Rovers

Northampton Town
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Bristol Rovers
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')
Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Northampton
0-1
Bristol Rovers

McGowan (61'), Lewis (71'), Pinnock (90+2')
Anderson (1')
Finley (68'), Coutts (75'), Connolly (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Grant (54'), Evans (59')
Whelan (12'), Harries (49'), Anderson (74')
Whelan (67')
Hoskins (39' pen.)
Hoskins (74'), Roberts (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Northampton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoskins (78' pen.)
Morris (44'), Hoskins (83')
Leahy (19')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Northampton
Hanlan (56' pen.), Baldwin (79')
Grant (23')

Racic (11'), Martin (35'), Watson (82'), Bolger (90+4')
Martin (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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