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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Lincoln
5 - 0
Bristol Rovers

O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Aguilera (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 3-1 Bristol Rovers

Lincoln are flying at the moment, and it may take a superior side to Bristol Rovers to stop Skubala's side. The former Leeds United caretaker boss has let the shackles off in recent weeks, with the Imps posting an unbeaten record of 12 matches. The visitors, on the other hand, have little to play for and have failed to score in their last two games. We can see that changing on Saturday, but it may not be enough to prevent them from falling to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
48.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 24.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)57.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (0.037000000000003 0.04)78.32% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)57.8% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)39.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)75.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.73%
    Bristol Rovers 24.55%
    Draw 26.71%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers

Lincoln City
80.8%
Draw
7.7%
Bristol Rovers
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Lincoln
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Baldwin (46' og.)
Jackson (61'), Bridcutt (87')
Jackson (83')
Daly (48'), Hanlan (58' pen.)
Nicholson (90+5'), Tutonda (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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