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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Northampton Town

Exeter
1 - 1
Northampton

Cox (87')
Niskanen (69'), Watts (89'), Cole (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Costelloe (42')
Taylor (51'), Costelloe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-1 Northampton Town

The visitors will fancy their chances this weekend against an Exeter side that have not performed well at home throughout this campaign. They will miss the presence of their top scorer McGeehan, but we still think that they can secure a narrow win here to boost their survival hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Northampton Town has a probability of 30.23% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
44.37% (0.712 0.71) 25.39% (-0.135 -0.14) 30.23% (-0.578 -0.58)
Both teams to score 54.5% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (0.328 0.33)49.04% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (0.296 0.3)71.12% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (0.47000000000001 0.47)22.07% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (0.708 0.71)55.42% (-0.708 -0.71)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (-0.233 -0.23)30.05% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-0.279 -0.28)66.18% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.37%
    Northampton Town 30.23%
    Draw 25.38%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Exeter vs Northampton

Exeter City
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Northampton Town
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Northampton
2-1
Exeter
Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')
Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-2
Exeter
Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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