Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.