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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Northampton Town

Mansfield
0 - 1
Northampton


Lewis (28'), Rhodes (49'), Boateng (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGeehan (55')
Shaw (81'), Perry (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Northampton Town

Mansfield may be experiencing a poor run of form, but they tend to fare well in home meetings with Northampton, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to get their league campaign back on track with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
63.15% (0.012 0.01) 21.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 14.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.95% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.139 0.14)51.58% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.121 0.12)73.38% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (0.051999999999992 0.05)15.76% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (0.11 0.11)46.64% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (0.084 0.08)82.21% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 63.14%
    Northampton Town 14.87%
    Draw 21.99%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 63.14%
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Northampton

Mansfield Town
77.5%
Draw
15.0%
Northampton Town
7.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Northampton
0-2
Mansfield
Evans (47'), Lewis (89')
Evans (51'), Cargill (58'), Boateng (67')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Northampton
1-0
Mansfield
Hoskins (28' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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