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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 73.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
73.28% ( -0.01) | 15.53% ( 0.01) | 11.19% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.6% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.11% ( -0.03) | 30.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.74% ( -0.04) | 52.26% ( 0.05) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.74% ( -0.01) | 7.26% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.7% ( -0.03) | 26.29% ( 0.03) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% ( -0.02) | 38.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% ( -0.02) | 75.69% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.87% Total : 73.28% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.53% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.58% Total : 11.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Burton Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Stockport CountyStockport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> League One Full Table |