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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
3 - 1
Stevenage

Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Freeman (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Stevenage

Peterborough are enjoying a scintillating run of form, and while they will face a tricky test on Wednesday, we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
62.16% (-1.08 -1.08) 20.44% (0.485 0.48) 17.4% (0.6 0.6)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.428 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (-1.174 -1.17)40.45% (1.176 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (-1.218 -1.22)62.83% (1.221 1.22)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-0.655 -0.66)12.49% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.54% (-1.385 -1.39)38.46% (1.389 1.39)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 62.16%
    Stevenage 17.4%
    Draw 20.44%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 62.16%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.243 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.4%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
83.6%
Draw
10.9%
Stevenage
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-0
Stevenage
Eisa (11'), Jade-Jones (94')
Toney (55')

Fernandez (56')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Stevenage
1-1
Peterborough
List (56')
Watts (6'), Stokes (81')
Maddison (79')
Thompson (24'), Butler (47'), Woodyard (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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