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League One | Gameweek 33
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Randall (45+2'), Burrows (56' pen.), Iacovitti (86' og.)
Knight (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ojo (8'), Lowe (77'), Ikpeazu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Port Vale

After losing their last three matches, Peterborough will view Tuesday's contest as an opportunity to return to winning ways against a struggling Port Vale side, and we think that Posh will ultimately do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
67.97% (-0.203 -0.2) 18.31% (0.105 0.11) 13.72% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.277 -0.28)38% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74% (-0.293 -0.29)60.26% (0.291 0.29)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (-0.127 -0.13)10.23% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.44% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)33.56% (0.286 0.29)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)76.51% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 67.97%
    Port Vale 13.72%
    Draw 18.31%
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 67.97%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.31%
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 13.72%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Port Vale

Peterborough United
71.2%
Draw
18.2%
Port Vale
10.6%
66
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Port Vale
0-1
Peterborough

Garrity (32')
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')
Jan 16, 2023 8pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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