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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Port Vale

Wigan
0 - 0
Port Vale


Shaw (87'), Kelman (90')
FT

Garrity (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 3-1 Wigan
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Port Vale
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Port Vale

Port Vale will be targeting all three points to aid fight against relegation, but we think that the visitors may have to settle for a point against a Wigan side that are unbeaten in five home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawPort Vale
47.37% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 25.8% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.82% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.99% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (0.045999999999999 0.05)52.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (0.041 0.04)74.24% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)22.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)55.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (0.093999999999994 0.09)34.47% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.099 0.1)71.18% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 47.37%
    Port Vale 26.82%
    Draw 25.8%
Wigan AthleticDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Wigan vs Port Vale

Wigan Athletic
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Port Vale
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Port Vale
3-2
Wigan
Chislett (21', 43', 83')
Devine (59'), Balmer (67'), Massey (68'), Ripley (85')
Sze (63'), Wyke (77')
Jones (59'), McManaman (67'), Tickle (83'), Sze (85'), Smith (90')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Wigan
1-3
Port Vale
Pearce (79')
Robinson (13', 30'), Montano (55')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Wigan
3-0
Port Vale
Duffy (7' og.), Grigg (41' pen., 69')

Duffy (84')
McGivern (39')
Sep 12, 2015 3pm
Port Vale
3-2
Wigan
Grant (34'), Dodds (64'), Ikpeazu (90')
Moore (12'), Grant (68'), McCourt (87')
McCann (66'), Barnett (83')
Kenny (60'), Perkins (85')
Barnett (88')
rhs 2.0
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