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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
45.39% ( 1.3) | 26.48% ( 0.16) | 28.13% ( -1.46) |
Both teams to score 49.89% ( -1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.54% ( -1.33) | 54.46% ( 1.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.17% ( -1.12) | 75.83% ( 1.12) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% ( 0.05) | 23.92% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0.07) | 58.14% ( -0.06) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.57% ( -1.81) | 34.43% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.86% ( -1.98) | 71.13% ( 1.98) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
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