Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.