We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Wrexham
Wrexham may be the favourites in this clash but they have struggled recently, and they are likely to find it tough once again given their poor away record this season.
However, their quality should prove enough to get the win over Crawley, and they could get their season back on track by taking all three points in a close-fought contest on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.