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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 23, 2025 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Mansfield
1 - 2
Wrexham

MacDonald (16')
Oshilaja (56'), Evans (68'), Flint (79'), Lewis (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
MacDonald (2' og.), Cleworth (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Mansfield Town 0-2 Wrexham

Wrexham have won each of their last three competitive away matches, and we think that they will enjoy more success on the road when they go up against a Mansfield side that will be bereft of confidence after losing seven of their previous eight league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawWrexham
34.99% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 26.51% (0.0019999999999989 0) 38.5% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.4% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.55% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)52.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)74.12% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)64.44% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.79% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 34.99%
    Wrexham 38.49%
    Draw 26.51%
Mansfield TownDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.99%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.49%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Wrexham

Mansfield Town
21.4%
Draw
21.4%
Wrexham
57.1%
14
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wrexham
1-0
Mansfield
Barnett (6')
Palmer (45+2'), Scarr (90')

Baccus (45'), Cargill (90+1')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Wrexham
2-0
Mansfield
Mullin (32', 67' pen.)
McClean (3')

Clarke (45'), Reed (69'), Lewis (71')
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
1-2
Wrexham
Oates (60')
Reed (68')
Dalby (23'), Mullin (58')
Evans (32'), Davies (90+3')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Mansfield
0-0
Wrexham
Clarke (18'), Cargill (19')
Evans (69')
Apr 1, 2008 3pm
Mansfield
2-1
Wrexham
Mullins (54'), Louis (51' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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