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Championship header 2

League Two
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Mansfield Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Mansfield

Hoskins (28' pen.)
J (5'), Haynes (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wallace (4'), Pym (27'), Law (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

 Even with their treatment room nearing full capacity, Mansfield's continued commitment to attacking has been admirable, and Northampton's resistance should prove futile at a ground where success has often eluded them in recent times. Also working around jellied legs and their own injury crisis, Tuesday's recipe is seemingly one for defeat for Brady's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
31.82% (-1.192 -1.19) 28.09% (0.149 0.15) 40.08% (1.042 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.93% (-0.732 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)59.05% (0.772 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.601 -0.6)79.51% (0.59899999999999 0.6)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-1.242 -1.24)34.08% (1.24 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-1.358 -1.36)70.76% (1.356 1.36)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.22500000000001 0.23)28.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.279 0.28)64.66% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 31.83%
    Mansfield Town 40.07%
    Draw 28.09%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.115 -0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 12.21% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.311 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
43.5%
Draw
21.7%
Mansfield Town
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Swan (84')
Harbottle (7')
Hoskins (88')
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
Mansfield

Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')
McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
1-0
Northampton
Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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