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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
24.69% ( -0.02) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 50.1% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( 0.02) | 51.79% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% ( 0.02) | 73.56% ( -0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0) | 35.83% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.39% ( -0) | 72.61% ( 0) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( 0.02) | 20.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( 0.03) | 53.28% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 50.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |