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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
52.84% (![]() | 24.34% (![]() | 22.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% (![]() | 50.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% (![]() | 71.99% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% (![]() | 18.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.64% (![]() | 50.36% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.45% (![]() | 36.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.66% (![]() | 73.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 11.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 40 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 70 | 46 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 70 |
3 | Port Vale | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 70 |
4 | Notts County | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 67 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 65 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 40 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 62 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 40 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 61 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 40 | 14 | 17 | 9 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 59 |
10 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 16 | 58 |
11 | Salford City | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 40 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 56 |
13 | Bromley | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 53 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 51 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 50 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 49 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
18 | MK Dons | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 46 |
19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 45 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 45 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 42 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 40 |
23 | Morecambe | 40 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 36 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 40 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 31 |
> League Two Full Table |