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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The County Ground
Crawley Town

Swindon
2 - 1
Crawley

Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Khan (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (62' pen.)
Gladwin (42'), Nadesan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town

 Swindon have been far too inconsistent to mount a push for the playoffs this season, but they should still have enough about them to beat 22nd-placed Crawley at the County Ground and sign off for the season on a positive note. The Red Devils have been very poor away from home all season, and with safety now a mathematical certainty, they have little to play for on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
52.84% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 22.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (0.044999999999995 0.04)50.01% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (0.039000000000001 0.04)71.99% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.012 0.01)18.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)50.36% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (0.042000000000002 0.04)36.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.34% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 52.83%
    Crawley Town 22.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.82%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')

Reed (32')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 40
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 16
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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