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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
29.52% ( 0.59) | 25.41% ( -0) | 45.07% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 54.07% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( 0.32) | 49.43% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( 0.29) | 71.47% ( -0.29) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.24% ( 0.59) | 30.76% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.98% ( 0.69) | 67.02% ( -0.69) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( -0.13) | 21.92% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% ( -0.2) | 55.18% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.52% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |