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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Mansfield Town

Wrexham
2 - 0
Mansfield

Mullin (32', 67' pen.)
McClean (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (45'), Reed (69'), Lewis (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Mansfield Town

This promises to be a closely contested game due to how much is on the line when it comes to the League Two promotion battle, and their previous encounters this season have showcased that there is little to split them. However, with Wrexham boasting a home advantage and the confidence that Mansfield has been unable to beat them this season, it could be Parkinson's men that edges this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
41.43% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16) 24.51% (0.081 0.08) 34.05% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.362 -0.36)43.79% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.355 -0.35)66.18% (0.352 0.35)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)21.21% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.359 -0.36)54.1% (0.355 0.35)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.126 -0.13)25.05% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)59.73% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 41.43%
    Mansfield Town 34.05%
    Draw 24.51%
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.05%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Mansfield

Wrexham
85.7%
Draw
4.8%
Mansfield Town
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
1-2
Wrexham
Oates (60')
Reed (68')
Dalby (23'), Mullin (58')
Evans (32'), Davies (90+3')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Mansfield
0-0
Wrexham
Clarke (18'), Cargill (19')
Evans (69')
Apr 1, 2008 3pm
Mansfield
2-1
Wrexham
Mullins (54'), Louis (51' pen.)
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Mansfield
Proctor (70')
Bolland (35')
Boulding (53')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
Mansfield
Williams (12'), Proctor (65')
Jelleyman (27'), White (41'), Hamshaw (65'), Brown (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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