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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
MK Dons

Mansfield
1 - 2
MK Dons

Quinn (15')
Cargill (45+2'), Boateng (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gilbey (20'), Dennis (54')
Dennis (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 MK Dons

Mansfield are in sensational form at the One Call Stadium of late and should be very confident of extending their winning run at the venue to four matches. MK Dons will still be reeling from their last-gasp loss at Wimbledon on the weekend, and a trip to the league leaders is not the ideal opportunity to bounce back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawMK Dons
57.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.61% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.3% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.44%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.025000000000006 0.03)28.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.033000000000001 0.03)64.16% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 57.14%
    MK Dons 22.15%
    Draw 20.71%
Mansfield TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 57.14%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.15%

How you voted: Mansfield vs MK Dons

Mansfield Town
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
MK Dons
7.7%
26
Head to Head
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
MK Dons
1-0
Mansfield
Wheeler (2')
Nicholls (63'), Aneke (89')

MacDonald (81'), Logan (95'), Mellis (97')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Mansfield
1-1
MK Dons
Mellis (17')
Sweeney (13'), Benning (52')
Houghton (24')
Brittain (81'), Aneke (85'), Watson (90')
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Mansfield
1-1
MK Dons
Thomas (45')
Powell (58')
Jan 1, 2008 3pm
Oct 2, 2007 3pm
Mansfield
1-2
MK Dons
Boulding (29')
Buxton (42'), John-Baptiste (73')
Stirling (83'), Dyer (72')
Stirling (34'), Knight (50'), Andrews (79'), Swailes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Accrington StanleyAccrington00000000
2AFC Wimbledon00000000
3BarrowBarrow00000000
4Bradford CityBradford00000000
5Bromley00000000
6Carlisle UnitedCarlisle00000000
7Cheltenham TownCheltenham00000000
8Chesterfield00000000
9Colchester UnitedColchester00000000
10Crewe AlexandraCrewe00000000
11Doncaster RoversDoncaster00000000
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood00000000
13Gillingham00000000
14Grimsby Town00000000
15Harrogate TownHarrogate00000000
16MK Dons00000000
17Morecambe00000000
18Newport CountyNewport00000000
19Notts County00000000
20Port Vale00000000
21Salford City00000000
22Swindon TownSwindon00000000
23Tranmere RoversTranmere00000000
24Walsall00000000


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