MX23RW : Monday, March 10 11:44:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 15, 2025 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
vs.
Toluca

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 1-3 Pumas
Saturday, March 8 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 5-2 Necaxa
Saturday, March 8 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Puebla has a probability of 24.8% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Puebla win is 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.86%).

Result
PueblaDrawToluca
24.8% (-2.006 -2.01) 23.24% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 51.96% (2.05 2.05)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-1.853 -1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63% (-1.548 -1.55)43.37% (1.55 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23% (-1.541 -1.54)65.76% (1.544 1.54)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (-2.374 -2.37)31.18% (2.377 2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.48% (-2.859 -2.86)67.51% (2.862 2.86)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27% (0.17699999999999 0.18)16.73% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36% (0.313 0.31)46.64% (-0.31 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 24.8%
    Toluca 51.96%
    Draw 23.24%
PueblaDrawToluca
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 24.8%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.347 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.142 0.14)
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.671 0.67)
0-2 @ 8.34% (0.645 0.65)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.411 0.41)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.59% (0.067 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.195 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.96%

Who will win Saturday's Liga MX clash between Puebla and Toluca?

Puebla
Draw
Toluca
Puebla
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Toluca
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 4.05am
Gameweek 13
Toluca
5-0
Puebla
Pereira (15'), Violante (37'), Vega (52'), Paulinho (56', 90+4')
Garcia (29'), Pereira (45')
Jan 27, 2024 1am
Gameweek 3
Puebla
1-1
Toluca
Navarro (23')
Sansores (41'), de Buen (54'), Velasco (62')
Morales (45+3')
Baeza (56'), Ruiz (63'), Pereira (74')
Nov 1, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Toluca
0-1
Puebla

Araujo (31'), Ruiz (76'), Baeza (76')
Martinez (78' pen.)
de Buen (45'), Baltazar (89')
Apr 8, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 14
Puebla
1-2
Toluca
Waller (75')
Lopez (8'), Volpi (15' pen.)
Aug 3, 2022 2am
Gameweek 16
Toluca
1-1
Puebla
Mosquera (83')
Fernandez (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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