Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Nov 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca4 - 0America
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Toluca
Thursday, November 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Thursday, November 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Pachuca
Thursday, November 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Thursday, November 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Club America had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club America |
41.75% ( -0.05) | 23.99% ( 0.02) | 34.25% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
