MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 12:47:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 14, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
5 - 1
Toluca

Valdes (9', 24'), Martin (15'), Quinones (73', 82')
Calderon (19'), Lichnovsky (50'), Fidalgo (90+2'), Quinones (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dominguez (14')
Escobar (49'), Ruiz (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.31%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawToluca
57.31% (-0.401 -0.4) 21.24% (0.372 0.37) 21.44% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-1.313 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (-1.741 -1.74)37.9% (1.736 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.84% (-1.884 -1.88)60.16% (1.879 1.88)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.678 -0.68)13.08% (0.675 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-1.395 -1.4)39.69% (1.39 1.39)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.968 -0.97)31.03% (0.963 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (-1.149 -1.15)67.34% (1.144 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Club America 57.31%
    Toluca 21.44%
    Draw 21.24%
Club AmericaDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.274 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.472 0.47)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.147 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.329 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.268 0.27)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 21.44%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Toluca
1-1
America
Araujo (54')
Huerta (44')
Belmonte (84')
Valdes (25')
Jan 15, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 2
Toluca
2-2
America
Gonzalez (8'), Orrantia (23')
Rodriguez (16'), Martin (76' pen.)
Oct 23, 2022 2.06am
Oct 20, 2022 3.06am
Jul 14, 2022 3am
Gameweek 3
America
1-0
Toluca
Sanchez (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915


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