MX23RW : Wednesday, May 22 08:35:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Metz logo

Le Havre
0 - 1
Metz


Sangante (21'), Targhalline (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mikautadze (46')
N'Doram (16'), Boloni (17'), Oukidja (78'), Jean Jacques (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-1 Lens
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Metz

Le Havre come into this game having won just one of their last 12 games across all competitions, and with Metz winning three of their last six, the visitors come into this one in much better form. While the visitors have failed to beat the hosts since 2014, we believe that their recent performances and results leave them as the favourites to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawMetz
40.07% (0.332 0.33) 25.92% (0.032 0.03) 34.01% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.188 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)50.1% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-0.183 -0.18)72.07% (0.184 0.18)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.081000000000003 0.08)24.65% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.111 0.11)59.17% (-0.11 -0.11)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (-0.324 -0.32)28.09% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.414 -0.41)63.76% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 40.07%
    Metz 34.01%
    Draw 25.92%
Le HavreDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.01%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Metz

Le Havre
45.0%
Draw
20.0%
Metz
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Metz
0-0
Le Havre
N'Duquidi (45+2'), Udol (68')
Salmier (42'), Bayo (56')
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Metz
1-1
Le Havre
Maziz (20')
Oct 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Le Havre
2-0
Metz
Lloris (10'), Alioui (53')
Mar 4, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Le Havre
2-2
Metz
Ferhat (21'), Kadewere (61' pen.)
Bain (29'), Coulibaly (78'), Thiare (90')
Boulaya (63'), Nguette (79')
Maiga (41'), Gakpa (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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