Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Montreal Impact win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.