Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Montreal Impact |
46.43% | 24.74% | 28.83% |
Both teams to score 55.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.05% | 46.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.8% | 69.2% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% | 20.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.34% | 52.65% |
Montreal Impact Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% | 66.09% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Montreal Impact |
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.83% |
Caldwell (58')
Piette (72')