Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
