Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 3.30am UK
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We said: Seattle Sounders 2-2 New York Red Bulls
Barring Thursday's cup exit, New York Red Bulls have enjoyed a superb start to life under 39-year-old manager Lesesne and will be looking to quickly bounce back. However, they will most likely struggle to claim all three points given their struggles on the road and the Sounders' home record in this fixture.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 51.61% . A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.59% .
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.28%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.95%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.
Result Seattle Sounders Draw New York Red Bulls 51.61% ( 0.09) 25.81% ( -0.03) 22.59% ( -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.95% ( 0.01)
44.15% ( 0.05) 55.85% ( -0.05)
23.03% ( 0.04) 76.96% ( -0.04)
78.3% ( 0.06) 21.7% ( -0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.15% ( 0.08) 54.85% ( -0.09)
59.95% ( -0.03) 40.04% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.3% ( -0.03) 76.69% ( 0.03)
Seattle Sounders 51.6%
New York Red Bulls 22.59%
Draw 25.81%
Seattle Sounders Draw New York Red Bulls 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.6% 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.81% 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.59%
rhs 2.0
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