We said: Seattle Sounders 2-2 New York Red Bulls
Barring Thursday's cup exit, New York Red Bulls have enjoyed a superb start to life under 39-year-old manager Lesesne and will be looking to quickly bounce back. However, they will most likely struggle to claim all three points given their struggles on the road and the Sounders' home record in this fixture.
How to watch
You can watch Seattle Sounders vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.