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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Columbus Crew

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Columbus Crew

Gazdag (45+3' pen., 72' pen.), Carranza (52', 80')
Flach (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Glesnes (28' og.)
Morris (39'), Sands (43'), Camilo Hernandez (56'), Zelarayan (58'), Degenek (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-3 Philadelphia (3-0 pen.)
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-0 Columbus Crew

 All the signs indicate that Philadelphia should be comfortable winners on Saturday night, getting their 2023 campaign off to the perfect start against a side they have a very good recent record against. Not only are the U undefeated against Columbus in the last five meetings, they have not conceded a single goal in that time, and we expect that record to continue this weekend, given the disparity between the two sides last season.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
57.38% (-0.052 -0.05) 22% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.61% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.95% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)42.57% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)64.97% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.6% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.3% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)42.7% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (0.028999999999996 0.03)34.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)71.19% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 57.38%
    Columbus Crew 20.61%
    Draw 22%
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 20.61%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Columbus Crew

Philadelphia Union
84.6%
Draw
0.0%
Columbus Crew
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
0-0
Philadelphia

Mensah (1'), Zelarayan (36'), Hurtado (39'), Santos (43'), Moreira (59')

Elliott (39'), Bedoya (61')
Apr 9, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
1-0
Columbus Crew
Room (2' og.)
Sullivan (79')

Moreira (66')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-0
Columbus Crew
Elliott (25'), Bedoya (46'), Flach (89')
Wagner (35'), Powell (74'), Santos (77')
Wagner (64')

Santos (66')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Columbus Crew
Monteiro (24')
Real (72'), Flach (84')

Matan (43'), Wormgoor (51')
Apr 18, 2021 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Philadelphia

Diaz Espinoza (56'), Kitchen (64')

Glesnes (40'), Monteiro (61'), Santos (75'), Bedoya (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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