We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 DC United
Philadelphia have put the disappointment of their CONCACAF Champions League exit behind them in recent matches and will be confident of easing past DC United on home soil.
The Black and Red appear to be a more competitive outfit this year in MLS, but they are likely to struggle against a Union side who are gunning for the Supporters Shield once again this season.
How to watch
You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for DC United had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.