Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-3 Leiston
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
47.56% ( -0.05) | 23.03% ( 0) | 29.41% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.18% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
