Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for York City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | York City |
49.97% ( 0.23) | 24.5% ( -0.07) | 25.53% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.8% ( 0.16) | 48.2% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.64% ( 0.15) | 70.35% ( -0.15) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.68% ( 0.16) | 19.32% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.92% ( 0.26) | 51.07% ( -0.26) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.83% ( -0.05) | 33.17% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.22% ( -0.05) | 69.77% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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