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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
2 - 1
Dorking

Linney (5'), Kosylo (11')
Marriott (45+3'), Kosylo (51'), Angus (75'), Angus (75')
Linney (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blair (60' pen.)
Cook (11'), Taylor (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Dag & Red 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 4-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-0 Dorking Wanderers

 Altrincham have proved themselves to be one of the best teams in the National League this season, and Tuesday's affair is a tough assignment for Dorking. It might be a cagey affair at times, but we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawDorking Wanderers
56.08% (0.743 0.74) 21.99% (-0.084 -0.08) 21.93% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.01% (-0.639 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.22% (-0.419 -0.42)40.78% (0.416 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83% (-0.43 -0.43)63.17% (0.427 0.43)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (0.093999999999994 0.09)14.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.66% (0.187 0.19)42.33% (-0.189 -0.19)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.82499999999999 -0.82)32.22% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.947 -0.95)68.71% (0.943 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 56.09%
    Dorking Wanderers 21.93%
    Draw 21.98%
AltrinchamDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.09%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.93%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Dorking

Altrincham
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Dorking Wanderers
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Dorking
3-2
Altrincham
Muitt (13'), Ottaway (60'), Prior (71')
Linney (5'), Oyedele (8')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Altrincham
4-1
Dorking
Colclough (45+1'), Mullarkey (49'), Bennett (66'), Dinanga (87')
Gallagher (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City24156348202851
2Forest Green RoversForest Green25149244212351
3Barnet25155551302150
4Gateshead25145649321747
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2512584536941
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
10AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
11Eastleigh2581163533235
12Yeovil TownYeovil25105103129235
13Sutton UnitedSutton259793433134
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2577112636-1028
18Aldershot TownAldershot25510103543-825
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2565142336-1323
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2565143149-1823
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2336141938-1915
24Ebbsfleet2516181760-439
> National League Full Table


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