Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Braintree Town |
61.88% ( -0.09) | 20.79% ( -0.03) | 17.33% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.84% ( 0.36) | 42.16% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.43% ( 0.36) | 64.57% ( -0.36) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.91% ( 0.09) | 13.09% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.29% ( 0.17) | 39.71% ( -0.17) |
Braintree Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.24% ( 0.37) | 37.76% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.47% ( 0.35) | 74.53% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Braintree Town |
2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 61.88% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.79% | 0-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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