Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Rochdale |
31.82% ( -0.02) | 25.63% ( 0.02) | 42.54% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.55% ( -0.1) | 49.45% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% ( -0.1) | 71.49% ( 0.09) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.82% ( -0.07) | 29.18% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.88% ( -0.08) | 65.12% ( 0.08) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.88% ( -0.05) | 23.12% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.02% ( -0.07) | 56.97% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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