Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
47.77% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( 0.02) | 27.83% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( -0.08) | 46.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( -0.08) | 68.35% ( 0.08) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% ( -0.03) | 19.36% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.85% ( -0.05) | 51.15% ( 0.05) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( -0.06) | 30.24% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% ( -0.08) | 66.4% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 27.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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