Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | York City |
44.39% (![]() | 25.04% (![]() | 30.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% (![]() | 47.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% (![]() | 69.61% (![]() |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% (![]() | 21.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.65% (![]() | 54.35% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% (![]() | 29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% (![]() | 64.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.56% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 11.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.67% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 42 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 86 | 36 | 50 | 92 |
2 | York City | 43 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 89 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 42 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 63 | 40 | 23 | 75 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 66 |
5 | Gateshead | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 73 | 63 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Rochdale | 41 | 18 | 10 | 13 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 64 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 64 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 60 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 60 |
10 | Tamworth | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 60 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 42 | 13 | 17 | 12 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 56 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 55 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 55 |
14 | Eastleigh | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 54 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 53 |
16 | Woking | 42 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 52 |
17 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 51 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 51 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 49 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 49 |
21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 44 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 44 |
23 | Fylde | 42 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 47 | 77 | -30 | 39 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 42 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 38 | 89 | -51 | 22 |
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