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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Boreham Wood

Wrexham
3 - 1
Boreham Wood

Lee (15'), Mullin (52', 71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ndlovu (1')
Ilesanmi (30')

The Match

Match Report

Wrexham are crowned champions of the National League courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Boreham Wood, earning promotion to League Two in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Boreham Wood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
70.26% (4.088 4.09) 17.92% (-1.293 -1.29) 11.83% (-2.795 -2.8)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-3.745 -3.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-0.758 -0.76)40.95% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (-0.778 -0.78)63.34% (0.777 0.78)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.53% (0.842 0.84)10.47% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.91% (1.871 1.87)34.09% (-1.871 -1.87)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-4.749 -4.75)44.72% (4.748 4.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (-4.085 -4.09)80.71% (4.084 4.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 70.25%
    Boreham Wood 11.83%
    Draw 17.92%
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
2-0 @ 11.92% (1.19 1.19)
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.706 0.71)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-0 @ 8.97% (1.169 1.17)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 5.06% (0.81 0.81)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.375 -0.38)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.432 0.43)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 70.25%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.654 -0.65)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.722 -0.72)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.386 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 11.83%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Boreham Wood

Wrexham
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
Boreham Wood
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Boreham Wood
1-1
Wrexham
Newton (30')
Hayden (52')
Jones (32')
May 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Boreham Wood
1-1
Wrexham
Marsh (89' pen.)
Evans (41')
Fyfield (38')
Mullin (54')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Wrexham
4-2
Boreham Wood
Palmer (15'), Hayden (61'), Jones (66'), Mullin (70')
Boden (38'), Marsh (68')
Stephens (32'), Boden (38'), Smith (42')
May 15, 2021 3pm
gameweek 53
Boreham Wood
2-3
Wrexham
Smith (18'), Tshimanga (45')
Champion (30'), Fyfield (90')
Champion (74')
Hall-Johnson (59', 88'), Ponticelli (86')
Lainton (57')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
gameweek 3
Wrexham
2-1
Boreham Wood
Hall-Johnson (27'), Young (69')
(8'), Vassell (36'), Hall-Johnson (60')
Murtagh (60')
Ricketts (45'), Murtagh (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379


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