Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.