Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
55.86% (![]() | 24.56% (![]() | 19.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.59% (![]() | 54.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.22% (![]() | 75.78% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% (![]() | 19.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% (![]() | 51.2% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% (![]() | 42.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.24% (![]() | 78.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 13.47% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.05% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.22% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.06% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |