Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 3-1 Arouca
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 1-6 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, August 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 1-1 Nacional
Nacional's recent return to the Primeira Liga after a three-year hiatus and Arouca's ongoing losses make it difficult to predict the outcome of Sunday's game. Thus, we will err on the side of caution and opt for a stalemate in the gameweek three meeting. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Nacional |
42.46% ( -0.12) | 26.13% ( -0.21) | 31.41% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
