Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Hamilton Academical has a probability of 28.53% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win is 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.09%).
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
28.53% ( -4.85) | 23.84% ( -0.16) | 47.62% ( 5) |
Both teams to score 58.64% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.86% ( -1.58) | 43.13% ( 1.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.46% ( -1.57) | 65.53% ( 1.57) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% ( -3.86) | 28.24% ( 3.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.05% ( -5.16) | 63.95% ( 5.15) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( 1.46) | 18.28% ( -1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.65% ( 2.42) | 49.34% ( -2.42) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.76) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.67) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.7) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.46) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.52) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.53% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.48) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.96) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 1.12) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.5) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.8) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.31) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.4) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 46 |
2 | Livingston | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 45 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 44 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 27 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 26 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 9 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |