Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.