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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Hibs logo

Aberdeen
4 - 1
Hibernian

Miovski (45+8' pen., 53'), Ramadani (61'), Clarkson (77')
Ramadani (61'), Coulson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kukharevych (69')
Marshall (45+8'), Campbell (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 3-0 St Mirren
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 1-1 Hibernian

Despite their lofty league positions, neither side have been performing to the best of their ability of late. With that in mind, we feel that both teams will be content with a share of the spoils as they bid to avoid losing ground on the other. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawHibernian
50.95% (0.107 0.11) 24.61% (-0.249 -0.25) 24.44% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.48% (0.918 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (1.139 1.14)49.57% (-1.137 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4% (1.016 1.02)71.59% (-1.014 -1.01)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.491 0.49)19.45% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7% (0.797 0.8)51.3% (-0.795 -0.8)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.749 0.75)34.84% (-0.746 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (0.782 0.78)71.57% (-0.78 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 50.95%
    Hibernian 24.44%
    Draw 24.6%
AberdeenDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.125 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Hibernian

Aberdeen
57.3%
Draw
22.0%
Hibernian
20.7%
82
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
3-1
Aberdeen
Boyle (45+1' pen.), Campbell (62', 73')
Lopes (4')
Stewart (27')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
3-1
Hibernian
Ferguson (37' pen., 64' pen.), Besuijen (80')
McCrorie (22'), Bates (28')
Ramsey (20' og.)
Newell (16'), Campbell (62'), Stevenson (66'), Henderson (89')
Porteous (63')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Hibernian
1-0
Aberdeen
Porteous (64')
Gogic (38'), Nisbet (76')

Hedges (88'), Ferguson (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
1-0
Hibernian
Ramirez (27')
Longstaff (45+4'), McCrorie (60'), Brown (62'), Hayes (90+3')

McGregor (33'), Boyle (79'), Newell (90+3')
McGregor (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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