Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
82.1% ( 0.2) | 11.45% ( -0.11) | 6.45% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.21% ( 0.25) | 26.79% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.77% ( 0.32) | 47.23% ( -0.32) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.17% ( 0.08) | 4.83% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.54% ( 0.24) | 19.46% ( -0.24) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.93% ( -0.03) | 46.07% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.23% ( -0.03) | 81.77% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
3-0 @ 10.31% 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.46% Total : 82.09% | 1-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 11.45% | 1-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 6.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |