MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 23:52:24| >> :600:287067:287067:
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Doosan Arena
Hearts logo

Plzen
1 - 0
Hearts

Oyegoke (90+6' og.)
Jemelka (69'), Kalvach (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Devlin (22'), Vargas (36'), Oyegoke (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Viktoria Plzen and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Falkirk 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Viktoria Plzen 3-0 Hearts

Hearts will make their first European trip of the season more in hope than expectation, as Plzen are in excellent form and boast an impressive pedigree. By contrast, the Jambos have been stuck in second gear so far, and they may already be out of the contest before next week's second leg in Scotland. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Viktoria Plzen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Viktoria Plzen.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawHearts
50.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 24.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.06% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.78% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (0.026 0.03)69.04% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)18.41% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.051000000000002 0.05)32.8% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.058 0.06)69.36% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 50.85%
    Hearts 25.07%
    Draw 24.07%
Viktoria PlzenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.85%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Plzen vs Hearts

Viktoria Plzen
Draw
Hearts
Viktoria Plzen
82.6%
Draw
9.1%
Hearts
8.3%
132
rhs 2.0
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