Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
33.24% ( 0.01) | 28.53% ( 0.01) | 38.23% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.01% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.65% ( -0.03) | 60.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.5% ( -0.02) | 80.51% ( 0.02) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.23% ( -0.01) | 33.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.57% ( -0.01) | 70.43% ( 0.01) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% ( -0.02) | 30.54% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% ( -0.03) | 66.76% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.23% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |