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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 1
Como

Vogliacco (90+2')
Caricol (32'), Vogliacco (61'), Balotelli (79'), Vasquez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Da Cunha (17')
Goldaniga (61'), Moreno (73'), Kempf (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Como
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-0 Como

It may not be pretty, but Genoa can scrap their way to six points from six against two promoted sides this week, thereby prolonging Como's misery. The Grifone showed some spirit to win in Parma, while their visitors remain a work in progress, so the long-suffering faithful at Stadio Luigi Ferraris should finally be rewarded. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawComo
31.38% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 27.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 41.24% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)77.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)69.72% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.039999999999992 0.04)27.01% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.050999999999995 0.05)62.36% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 31.38%
    Como 41.24%
    Draw 27.38%
GenoaDrawComo
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.24%

How you voted: Genoa vs Como

Genoa
67.6%
Draw
21.1%
Como
11.3%
71
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Como
2-2
Genoa
Cutrone (62'), Mancuso (88')
Strootman (23'), Coda (57')
Nov 13, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Genoa
1-1
Como
Coda (17' pen.)
Cerri (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma133461418-413
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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