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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Salernitana

Thuram (17'), Martinez (19'), Dumfries (40'), Arnautovic (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Tchaouna (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Salernitana

Despite the managerial change at Salernitana, any response to Liverani's appointment must wait, with Inter expected to secure a routine victory over the struggling visitors at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 3.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.83%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
86.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 9.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03) 3.72% (0.0211 0.02)
Both teams to score 36.12% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)33.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.77% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.62% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)5.38% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)21.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.17% (0.071999999999996 0.07)61.83% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.44% (0.036100000000001 0.04)91.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 86.33%
    Salernitana 3.72%
    Draw 9.93%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 14.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 13.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
6-0 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
7-0 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 86.33%
1-1 @ 4.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.93%
0-1 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 3.72%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
93.5%
Draw
3.3%
Salernitana
3.3%
123
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
0-4
Inter Milan

Cabral (60'), Gyomber (69')
Martinez (62', 77', 85', 89')
Calhanoglu (25')
Apr 7, 2023 4pm
Oct 16, 2022 11.30am
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Salernitana
0-5
Inter Milan

Gyomber (53')
Perisic (11'), Dumfries (33'), Sanchez (52'), Martinez (77'), Gagliardini (87')
Barella (18'), Calhanoglu (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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